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Β 6️⃣ Betting Bankroll Deep Dive: Ben’s AI Lays 🐎

    Trying your first laying tipster service is like learning a new language for betting. The variance and strike rate are vastly different from backing services. While most lay bets win, the liabilities for losses are higher, and a few bad days can challenge your bankroll.

    But Ben’s AI Lays is one of the most consistent and low-volatility services out there for steady profits. Let’s break down the data to see why this is and what you can expect going forward.

    🧠 Bens AI Lays:
    Betting Style at a Glance

    MetricDescription
    SportHorse Racing
    Avg Odds1.25 (Lay of 5.0)
    Avg Stake4pts liability
    ROI7%
    Volume600 bets per year
    BookiesBetfair Exchange (Automated – 1 min prior to start)

    πŸ“Š AI Lays Simulation Summary – Full Sample (543 bets)

    We ran 15 simulations on Ben’sΒ AI Lays for the data around novices & maiden races which all public bets (since April 6th) have been on.

    πŸ”Ž Key Insights from the Simulation:

    πŸ’° Profit: +161.54pts
    That’s an average of around 9pts/month β€” a steady, reliable return with a solid profit margin.

    🎯 Hit Rate: 80.5%
    With 80.5% of the bets hitting, this service delivers high consistency and frequent winning streaks, smoothing out any potential losses. Currently, we are on a 13 day profit streak for the service (06/08).

    πŸ“‰ Typical Max Drawdown: ~30pts
    In 8/15 of the simulations the max drawdown was below 30pts. In 3/15 simulations the max drawdown was between 40-50pts. Remarkably, 4 simulations had a max drawdown of under 20pts!

    🚨 Worst-case dip observed: ~49pts
    In the worst-run simulation, the max drawdown reached 49pts β€” still well within reason for most bettors, especially with a 60pt bankroll.

    πŸ” Chance of success being random?
    Just 0.089% β€” with such a low probability (1 in 1,123), it’s clear this level of success isn’t based on luck.

    πŸ“Š Risk vs Reward Ratio:
    The profit-to-drawdown ratio is a strong 5.33 β€” showing a favourable balance between profits and risks.

    Single Simulation Result

    βœ… Suggested Bankroll: 50–60pts

    Based on the current sample and risk profile, we suggest a 50–60pt bankroll for long-term success:

    • 50pts β†’ Balanced, with a manageable cushion for typical drawdowns (30pts).
    • 60pts β†’ Extra buffer for peace of mind, but still efficient and effective.
    Max Drawdown Distribution Profile

    πŸ” Final Thoughts

    The 50–60pt bankroll we’re recommending for AI Lays is far lower than what most laying tipster services would require. This is due to the system’s exceptional results, running at a 7% ROI and 80% SR in winning bets. These results make a lower bankroll viable, and the statistical significance is already strong, with only a 1 in 1,000 chance the results came from luck.

    With over 160pts profit and a max drawdown around 30pts, the profit-to-drawdown ratio is a solid 5+. The most exciting part? AI Lays is constantly learning and improving. Given its strong baseline, could the current streak of 13 profitable days in a row become the new norm?

    AI finding the losing horses (lay winners 😁)

    πŸ₯‡ Next Up: Tom’s Racing Systems 🐎

    There’s no one more in form than Tom on the Bet Bots with Tom’s Racing Systems generating more than 100pts of profit from the last two months alone. But the two months prior had been -50 & it’s important to understand the variance of any high odds backing service. We’ll be revealing what betting bankroll you’ll require in the next drop of the series.

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