About AAABettor

AAABettor has been an active sports bettor for a long time. He started out through following other tipsters and learned a lot about betting theory from doing so. In having a background in finance and statistical modelling, AAABettor used those skills to model football scores, mainly for fun to start! Given the expectation of market efficiency in the biggest leagues, surely generating long-term profits was a push?

But contrarily, AAABettor found that it was very much possible to gain an edge, even in ones such as the English Premier League. He learned that in market infancy, (often straight after matches had been played on a given gameweek), he was able to find strong value prices. This was often in advance of the following week and started taking positive value bets. He had an understanding how he could process information in his model faster than the market. In being able to do this in the Premier League where liquidity is high from the get go, and bookmaker restrictions are far less likely, this was a significant advantage.

In his own words, the approach to betting is ‘model based, but event driven‘ where he starts calculating the ‘fair’ odds based on historic performance and team strength. The number is then adjusted for the current situation, accounting for factors like injuries, suspensions, expected player rotation, motivation, rest days and so on. This is all combined with a strategic head-to head analysis of how the two teams match up against each other, from both a tactical and psychological perspective.

AAABettor has made a terrific start on the bot, with the highest ROI to date of all the tipsters on the platform at 11% on his model at pinnacle markets and 30pts profit in his first season on the platform. With his considered reasoning and selective approach to finding value, there are a multitude of reasons to add this excellent tipster to your portfolio. All whilst enjoying the Premier League action!